Analyze This: MLB Bettors Seeing Reds
by Bovada Sportsbook Staff | August 9, 2012
The Cincinnati Reds flirted with the top spot in baseball last week and bettors cashed
in.
This MLB betting season
the “best in baseball” torch has passed a couple of times. It began with the Texas Rangers,
moved to the New York Yankees, dabbled with the Washington Nationals and last week had an
affair with the Cincinnati Reds.
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Not in a Kristen Stewart and Rupert Sanders way either, the Reds sat on top of the MLB
standings and you didn’t hear a peep from sports media. However, a large percentage of MLB
bettors caught on and focused on Cincy’s Aug. 2 bout against the San Diego Padres. The
Bovada Sportsbook offered the runline for Cincy at EVEN and the moneyline at -200; bettors
placed their bets at 93 and 90 percent respectively. Along with its spot on top of baseball we
surmise bettors took Cincy on Aug. 2 because they were facing the 15-games-under-.500
Padres and the steady arm of Johnny Cueto (14-5, 2.58 ERA) was on the mound. Cueto had
won five-straight going into San Diego, and paid off bettors’ confidence with a solid 7.1
inning, four run performance. Cincy’s superstar first baseman Joey Votto is on the 15-day
disabled list since July 16 with torn meniscus in his left knee, so the offense came from Jay
Bruce, Todd Frazier and Scott Rolen, contributing to a 9-4 victory. We hope bettors got their
fill on Cincy because they’re currently in a five-game losing streak and moved down to second
in MLB standings. Props to those who caught the “affair” before it was exposed.
The team that took the Reds’ top spot? The Washington Nationals. Yeah, they’re “on”
again. On as in they won six straight and eight of 10. Heavy wagering came in on the July 31st
matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies. Everything added up to free money for Nats bettors:
Stephen Strasburg on the mound (11-5, 3.12 ERA), the bottom-feeding Phillies on the schedule
and Phillies starter Cliff Lee (2-6, 3.78 ERA) coming off a six-run beating versus Milwaukee.
We had 97 percent take the +155 runline and another 83 percent take the -138 moneyline.
It took about four innings to blow up in everyone’s faces.
The Phillies somehow, someway found a soft spot in Strasburg’s game, and pounded him
all over Nationals Park. Even Lee got in on the action and earned an RBI. The final was 8-0
Phillies, the only consolation was the 75 percent that wagered OVER 6.5. The Nats haven’t
cracked our top five wagers since and right on cue they’ve gone on a run. We’ll see if bettors
bet on more Natitude next week.
Did the Yankees get love this week? Of course they did. Aug. 3 was the date bettors chose
and with CC Sabathia on the mound and the Seattle Mariners in town, they could probably
hear “cha-ching” emanating from Yankee Stadium. The runline was listed at -130 and an
amazing 99 percent went in; -250 for the moneyline and another 90 percent wagered there.
With another 66 percent betting UNDER 9 it appears bettors were expecting a Sabathia, and
they got just that. Sabathia went nine innings, allowing three runs while striking out 10. The
New York bats chipped in six runs.
Coincidentally our top three wagers this week are statistically the top three teams in
baseball. But with Cincy slumping, the Yankees heading to Texas next week and the Nationals
about to hit the road it will be interesting to see if trust remains strong.
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