MLB Baseball Betting May 31-June 7 Recap at Bovada
by Bovada Sportsbook Staff | June 7, 2012
There seems to be a consensus in the MLB betting world: Ride the reigning-MVP arm of Justin Verlander to the bank. As for the third-straight week the Detroit Tigers and it’s ace garnered the most action in the sportsbook.
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Bettors pounded Verlander’s start versus the New York Yankees like his heralded four-seamer. The +120 runline took 90 percent of the action while the moneyline came in at 80 percent. But for the third-straight week Verlander couldn’t get the job done, giving up three runs versus the Yankees to take the 5-1 loss. Verlander was surprisingly out-dueled by Phil Hughes (5-5, 4.96 ERA), whose claim to fame is a boatload of hype only to deliver five of six seasons with an ERA over four. The good news is Verlander still boasts a 2.67 ERA along with a league-leading 86 strikeouts, and checking his average of five days rest between starts the Cincinnati Reds are his next start, a team batting .243.
In Washington the NL East-leading Nationals continue to prove that these ain’t your daddy’s Expos, as bettors gave them tons of love versus the Atlanta Braves. Bettors understandably put their trust in starter Gio Gonzalez (7-2, 2.31 ERA), throwing down 91 percent on the +165 runline and 77 percent on the -135 moneyline. Unfortunately Washington didn’t give the love back, as Gonzalez gave up three runs over 4.2 innings and the Nats bats only chipped in two runs. The sportsbook swept the matchup as 67 percent of bettors wagered Over 6.5 at -130.
Bettors got their biggest W of the week by taking pitcher Felix Doubront and the Boston Red Sox versus Kyle Drabek and the Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox rewarded the 80 percent who bet on the +130 runline, 60 percent who bet on the -117 runline and 62 percent who bet Over 10 with a 7-4 win. In his first season as a full-time starter Doubront has been a solid investment with a 6-2 record and 3.75 ERA, including a 2.72 ERA and 5-1 record over his last six starts.
MLB futures made a slight shift as oddsmakers moved the Yankees from 9-1 odds to win the 2012 World Series to 17-2. Understandable considering New York has won seven of its last 10 to move just a half-game back of the Baltimore Orioles. Oddsmakers never completely trusted the AL East-leading Orioles, as they sit at 50-1 to take October and 9-1 to win their division; they’ve followed through by losing 10 of their last 15.
Bets to Watch Next Week
How legit are the NL East’s Nationals and Miami Marlins? We could find out when both have upcoming interleague stints with the AL East. The Nats hit the road to test their young squad versus the Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays, while Miami hosts Boston and the Tampa Bay Rays. How they handle the competitive league could make or break the value of their 15-1 MLB futures.
Meanwhile, the Texas Rangers and their league leading 5-1 World Series odds head to the National League to face the San Francisco Giants and struggling Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rangers went 9-9 versus the National League last season.